Shanghai 2026: round of 16 review, De Minaur defies the predictions

The round of 16 at the Shanghai Masters 1000 was played on Tuesday and Wednesday. The last Frenchman standing, Arthur Gea, held his own, and several results caught predictors off guard.

Gea still going

Arthur Gea beat Jakub Mensik 7-6(4), 6-4 to book his place in the quarter-finals.

Round of 16 results

• Alex De Minaur beat Karen Khachanov 6-3, 6-4
• Arthur Gea beat Jakub Mensik 7-6(4), 6-4
• Alexander Zverev beat Alexander Bublik 7-6(6), 4-6, 7-6(1)
• Alejandro Davidovich Fokina beat Hubert Hurkacz 1-6, 6-3, 7-6(6)
• Rafael Jodar beat Botic van de Zandschulp 6-7(4), 6-4, 6-2
• Casper Ruud beat Felix Auger-Aliassime, who retired at 5-2 in the first set
• Daniil Medvedev beat Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4, 7-5
• Tommy Paul beat Zizou Bergs 7-6(5), 6-4

Two matches went to a final-set tie-break: Zverev got past Bublik, and Davidovich Fokina came back from a 6-1 first set against Hurkacz.

Round of 16 predictions

Across the eight matches, 49 predictions were made on PredicTennis: 51% picked the right winner and 27% the exact score.

• De Minaur – Khachanov: the biggest surprise. Only 1 predictor out of 5 had backed De Minaur.
• Davidovich Fokina – Hurkacz: just a third of predictions for the Spaniard, but both who picked him also called the three-set score.
• Medvedev – Tsitsipas: 3 predictors out of 7 trusted Medvedev.
• Jodar – Van de Zandschulp: the community was split down the middle, and all three who backed Jodar got the exact score.
• Zverev – Bublik: 4 predictors out of 6 had Zverev going through, and 3 called the three-set score.
• Gea – Mensik: 3 predictors out of 5 backed the Frenchman, 2 of them with the right score.
• Paul – Bergs and Ruud – Auger-Aliassime: the predictors' favourites won. With the retirement in the first set, nobody could get the exact score in Ruud's match.

What came next

In the quarter-finals, Arthur Gea's run ended: he retired against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina while trailing 4-1. Alexander Zverev beat Alex De Minaur 6-4, 6-4, Rafael Jodar overcame Casper Ruud 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 and Daniil Medvedev knocked out Tommy Paul 6-3, 1-6, 6-3.

On Saturday, the semi-finals pit Zverev against Davidovich Fokina and Jodar against Medvedev. Make your predictions on PredicTennis before the matches start!