Shanghai 2026: quarter-final review, three winners out of four against the predictors

The quarter-finals of the Shanghai Masters 1000 were played on Thursday and Friday. They ended Arthur Gea's fine run and gave predictors a hard time.

Gea forced to retire

The last Frenchman standing couldn't see his match through. Trailing 4-1 in the first set against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, Arthur Gea retired. He leaves Shanghai with a Masters 1000 quarter-final and wins over Jaime Faria, Ugo Humbert, Ben Shelton and Jakub Mensik.

Quarter-final results

• Alejandro Davidovich Fokina beat Arthur Gea, who retired at 4-1 in the first set
• Alexander Zverev beat Alex De Minaur 6-4, 6-4
• Rafael Jodar beat Casper Ruud 4-6, 6-4, 6-3
• Daniil Medvedev beat Tommy Paul 6-3, 1-6, 6-3

Quarter-final predictions

Across the four matches, 24 predictions were made on PredicTennis: only 46% picked the right winner, and 17% the exact score. Three of the four winners were not the community's favourites.

• Zverev – De Minaur: 4 predictors out of 7 had De Minaur winning. Only one of Zverev's backers called the 2-0.
• Jodar – Ruud: 3 predictors out of 5 backed Ruud. Both who picked Jodar also called the three-set score.
• Davidovich Fokina – Gea: 4 predictors out of 7 had chosen the Frenchman. With the retirement in the first set, nobody could get the exact score.
• Medvedev – Paul: the only favourite to go through, picked by 3 predictors out of 5.

On to the semi-finals

On Saturday, Alexander Zverev faces Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, and Rafael Jodar takes on Daniil Medvedev. At the time of writing, most predictions have Zverev and Jodar reaching the final.

Predictors got it wrong three times out of four in the quarter-finals: it's your turn to do better on PredicTennis before the semi-finals start!